Table 2:

Effect of the intervention on psychiatrist supply of incentive-eligible visits

OutcomePostdischarge visits/mo per psychiatrist*Post–suicide attempt visits/mo per psychiatrist*
Full sampleQ1–Q3 providersQ4 and Q5 providersFull sampleQ1–Q3 providersQ4 and Q5 providers
Mean eligible visits/mo
Before introduction of incentives1.50 (1.47 to 1.53)0.30 (0.29 to 0.31)3.33 (3.23 to 3.43)1.35 (1.32 to 1.38)0.26 (0.25 to 0.27)3.03 (2.93 to 3.12)
After introduction of incentives1.43 (1.41 to 1.46)0.42 (0.40 to 0.44)2.94 (2.85 to 3.03)1.23 (1.21 to 1.26)0.40 (0.38 to 0.43)2.47 (2.40 to 2.54)
Model estimates
Pre-incentive trend−0.0045 (−0.0102 to 0.0011)−0.0008 (−0.0028 to 0.0011)−0.0100 (−0.0230 to 0.0029)−0.0071 (−0.0117 to −0.0023)−0.0010 (−0.0035 to 0.0004)−0.0171 (−0.0267 to −0.0057)
Change in level after introduction of incentives§0.0099 (−0.0989 to 0.1206)0.0862 (0.0506 to 0.1209)−0.0952 (−0.3211 to 0.1440)−0.0910 (−0.1885 to 0.0026)0.0697 (0.0391 to 0.1244)−0.3075 (−0.5212 to −0.1210)
Change in trend after introduction of incentives0.0032 (−0.0035 to 0.0095)0.0030 (0.0006 to 0.0054)0.00008 (−0.0152 to 0.0147)0.0102 (0.0045 to 0.0159)0.0056 (0.0027 to 0.0086)0.0143 (0.0015 to 0.0259)
Post-incentive trend**−0.0013 (−0.0050 to 0.0020)0.0022 (0.0008 to 0.0035)−0.0098 (−0.0172 to −0.0032)0.0030 (−0.0003 to 0.0062)0.0046 (0.0021 to 0.0064)−0.0029 (−0.0091 to 0.0031)
  • Note: Q1 to Q5 represent quintiles, where Q1 = lowest quintile and Q5 = highest quintile for the quantity of incentive-eligible services provided in the pre-incentive period.

  • * All estimates are presented with 95% confidence intervals.

  • Confidence intervals on model estimates were calculated with bootstrap standard errors (using 1000 replications). All estimates are conditional on other model covariables (not reported).

  • The monthly change in the mean number of visits before introduction of the incentives.

  • § The level change in the mean monthly number of visits after introduction of the incentives.

  • The change in the trend for mean monthly number of visits after introduction of the incentives, compared with the monthly trend before introduction of the incentives.

  • ** The monthly change in the mean number of visits after introduction of the incentives.